Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 16:00 • Stadion Znicza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.97 (league 1.55) 0.73 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.9% 6.2% 2.9%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.5%
4 - 0
9.4%
5 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Ruch Chorzów
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 0 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.2% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.5% 6.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.4% 6.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.5% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPogoń Grod. MazowieckiRuch Chorzów
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack79%57%
Defense50%21%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Ruch Chorzów
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%33%50%67%0%33%
Draws33%17%25%17%50%33%
Loses0%50%25%17%50%33%

Form: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: WDWLWLDLDWWW • Ruch Chorzów: DWLLDWDDWWLL

League goals

Metric Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Ruch Chorzów
HATHAT
GF total1782511617
GF avg2.81.32.11.81.01.4
GA total6111761319
GA avg1.01.81.41.02.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePogoń Grod. MazowieckiRuch Chorzów
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%83%75%83%
1.567%33%50%42%
2.533%25%8%25%
3.517%0%8%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPogoń Grod. MazowieckiRuch Chorzów
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricPogoń Grod. MazowieckiRuch Chorzów
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricPogoń Grod. MazowieckiRuch Chorzów
Wins12
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-24-0
Biggest losses3-00-23-0
Goals For4242
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricPogoń Grod. MazowieckiRuch Chorzów
Form59%41%
Att58%42%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Unibet
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away2.91 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Unibet
No2.38 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki = 3.97 (league 1.55), Ruch Chorzów = 0.73 (league 1.37)

Ruch Chorzów
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 0 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.2% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.5% 6.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.4% 6.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.5% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.9% · Draw 6.2% · Away win 2.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1