Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 15:30 • Bogdanka Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.55) 1.02 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.4% 27.9% 29.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
12.7%
0 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Znicz Pruszków
0 1 2 3 4 5
Górnik Łęczna 0 9.9% 10.1% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.7% 13.1% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.4% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGórnik ŁęcznaZnicz Pruszków
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack35%41%
Defense35%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Górnik Łęczna Znicz Pruszków
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins17%0%8%33%17%25%
Draws33%67%50%0%0%0%
Loses50%33%42%67%83%75%

Form: Górnik Łęczna: LLDDDDDLDLLW • Znicz Pruszków: LLLLLLWLLWLW

League goals

Metric Górnik Łęczna Znicz Pruszków
HATHAT
GF total691511415
GF avg1.01.51.31.80.71.3
GA total121224181230
GA avg2.02.02.03.02.02.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGórnik ŁęcznaZnicz Pruszków
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%92%58%83%
1.542%75%33%50%
2.58%25%17%42%
3.50%8%17%42%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGórnik ŁęcznaZnicz Pruszków
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score213235

Penalties

MetricGórnik ŁęcznaZnicz Pruszków
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricGórnik ŁęcznaZnicz Pruszków
Wins01
Draws50
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-04-00-2
Biggest losses0-42-00-74-0
Goals For2342
Goals Against4374

Model comparison

MetricGórnik ŁęcznaZnicz Pruszków
Form40%60%
Att46%54%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total49.8%50.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Znicz Pruszków

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.47 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away2.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Unibet
No2.39 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Górnik Łęczna = 1.29 (league 1.55), Znicz Pruszków = 1.02 (league 1.37)

Znicz Pruszków
0 1 2 3 4 5
Górnik Łęczna 0 9.9% 10.1% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.7% 13.1% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.4% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.4% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 29.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1