Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 18:30 • Stadion im. Orła Białego
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.56) 0.88 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.0% 30.1% 27.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Pogoń Siedlce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Miedz Legnica 0 13.1% 11.5% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.1% 13.3% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.7% 7.7% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMiedz LegnicaPogoń Siedlce
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack33%53%
Defense47%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Miedz Legnica Pogoń Siedlce
HATHAT
Played48126612
Wins75%13%33%17%50%33%
Draws25%13%17%33%17%25%
Loses0%75%50%50%33%42%

Form: Miedz Legnica: LLLLDWWWDLWL • Pogoń Siedlce: DLLWWDDWLLWL

League goals

Metric Miedz Legnica Pogoń Siedlce
HATHAT
GF total79166915
GF avg1.81.11.31.01.51.3
GA total322257613
GA avg0.82.82.11.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMiedz LegnicaPogoń Siedlce
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%92%83%67%
1.550%58%33%33%
2.58%33%8%8%
3.50%25%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMiedz LegnicaPogoń Siedlce
HATHAT
Clean sheets101224
Failed to score033202

Penalties

MetricMiedz LegnicaPogoń Siedlce
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricMiedz LegnicaPogoń Siedlce
Wins32
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-01-3
Biggest losses4-02-32-1
Goals For2323
Goals Against1432

Model comparison

MetricMiedz LegnicaPogoń Siedlce
Form54%46%
Att38%62%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h67%33%
Goals60%40%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : Miedz Legnica or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Bet365
Draw4.21 @ Pinnacle
Away4.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.17 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Miedz Legnica = 1.16 (league 1.56), Pogoń Siedlce = 0.88 (league 1.37)

Pogoń Siedlce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Miedz Legnica 0 13.1% 11.5% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.1% 13.3% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.7% 7.7% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 27.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1