I Liga — Poland
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 16:00 • Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.55) 1.67 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.9% 21.5% 32.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.6%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Miedz Legnica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stal Mielec 0 2.6% 4.3% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
1 5.1% 8.6% 7.2% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
2 5.1% 8.5% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.4% 5.6% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.7% 2.8% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStal MielecMiedz Legnica
Played55
Form0%33%
Attack31%31%
Defense31%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stal Mielec Miedz Legnica
HATHAT
Played76135813
Wins14%33%23%60%13%31%
Draws29%0%15%40%13%23%
Loses57%67%62%0%75%46%

Form: Stal Mielec: LWLDLWWDLLLLL • Miedz Legnica: LLLLDWWWDLWLD

League goals

Metric Stal Mielec Miedz Legnica
HATHAT
GF total89179918
GF avg1.11.51.31.81.11.4
GA total15132852227
GA avg2.12.22.21.02.82.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStal MielecMiedz Legnica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%92%77%92%
1.531%77%54%62%
2.58%31%8%31%
3.58%15%0%23%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStal MielecMiedz Legnica
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score123033

Penalties

MetricStal MielecMiedz Legnica
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricStal MielecMiedz Legnica
Wins23
Draws11
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-14-52-01-2
Biggest losses0-42-0—4-0
Goals For2523
Goals Against4424

Model comparison

MetricStal MielecMiedz Legnica
Form0%100%
Att50%50%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h91%9%
Goals75%25%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Double chance : Stal Mielec or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.69 @ Pinnacle
Away2.35 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ 188Bet
No2.55 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Stal Mielec = 1.99 (league 1.55), Miedz Legnica = 1.67 (league 1.38)

Miedz Legnica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stal Mielec 0 2.6% 4.3% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
1 5.1% 8.6% 7.2% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
2 5.1% 8.5% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.4% 5.6% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.7% 2.8% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.9% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 32.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1