Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 17:00 •
Bogdanka Arena
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.55)
2.35 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.6% | 17.2% | 67.8% |
best score tips
0 - 2
11.4%
0 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Polonia Warszawa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Górnik Łęczna | 0 | 4.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Górnik Łęczna | Polonia Warszawa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 13% |
| Attack | 54% | 38% |
| Defense | 38% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Górnik Łęczna | Polonia Warszawa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Wins | 14% | 0% | 8% | 17% | 29% | 23% |
| Draws | 43% | 67% | 54% | 17% | 57% | 38% |
| Loses | 43% | 33% | 38% | 67% | 14% | 38% |
Form: Górnik Łęczna: LLDDDDDLDLLWD • Polonia Warszawa: DLWWDLDWDLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Górnik Łęczna | Polonia Warszawa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 13 | 12 | 25 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Górnik Łęczna | Polonia Warszawa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 92% | 85% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 69% | 38% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 23% | 15% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Górnik Łęczna | Polonia Warszawa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Górnik Łęczna | Polonia Warszawa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Górnik Łęczna | Polonia Warszawa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 2-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 2-0 | 1-6 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Górnik Łęczna | Polonia Warszawa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 58.5% | 41.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Górnik Łęczna or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Górnik Łęczna = 0.84 (league 1.55), Polonia Warszawa = 2.35 (league 1.37)
| Polonia Warszawa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Górnik Łęczna | 0 | 4.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.6% · Draw 17.2% · Away win 67.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1