Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 18:30 • Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.55) 2.30 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.0% 17.3% 68.6%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.1%
0 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Pogoń Siedlce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stal Mielec 0 4.6% 10.5% 12.1% 9.3% 5.4% 2.5%
1 3.6% 8.2% 9.5% 7.3% 4.2% 1.9%
2 1.4% 3.2% 3.7% 2.8% 1.6% 0.8%
3 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStal MielecPogoń Siedlce
Played55
Form7%53%
Attack43%71%
Defense29%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stal Mielec Pogoń Siedlce
HATHAT
Played87157815
Wins13%29%20%29%38%33%
Draws25%14%20%29%38%33%
Loses63%57%60%43%25%33%

Form: Stal Mielec: LWLDLWWDLLLLLLD • Pogoń Siedlce: DLLWWDDWLLWLDWD

League goals

Metric Stal Mielec Pogoń Siedlce
HATHAT
GF total9101991221
GF avg1.11.41.31.31.51.4
GA total1714318917
GA avg2.12.02.11.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStal MielecPogoń Siedlce
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%93%87%73%
1.527%73%40%33%
2.57%27%13%7%
3.57%13%0%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStal MielecPogoń Siedlce
HATHAT
Clean sheets011224
Failed to score123202

Penalties

MetricStal MielecPogoń Siedlce
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total27

Streaks

MetricStal MielecPogoń Siedlce
Wins22
Draws12
Losses62

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-14-53-11-3
Biggest losses0-42-02-32-1
Goals For2533
Goals Against4432

Model comparison

MetricStal MielecPogoń Siedlce
Form11%89%
Att38%63%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total28.5%71.8%

Advice: Winner : Pogoń Siedlce

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Unibet
Draw3.91 @ Pinnacle
Away2.90 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ SBO
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.42 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stal Mielec = 0.78 (league 1.55), Pogoń Siedlce = 2.30 (league 1.37)

Pogoń Siedlce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stal Mielec 0 4.6% 10.5% 12.1% 9.3% 5.4% 2.5%
1 3.6% 8.2% 9.5% 7.3% 4.2% 1.9%
2 1.4% 3.2% 3.7% 2.8% 1.6% 0.8%
3 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.0% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 68.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1