I Liga — Poland
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 18:30 • Stadion Polonii Bytom
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.57 (league 1.56) 0.61 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.9% 13.7% 6.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.7%
3 - 0
11.7%
1 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Stal Mielec
0 1 2 3 4 5
Polonia Bytom 0 4.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.7% 6.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 8.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.7% 7.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.5% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPolonia BytomStal Mielec
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack35%20%
Defense75%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Polonia Bytom Stal Mielec
HATHAT
Played79169716
Wins57%44%50%11%29%19%
Draws29%11%19%33%14%25%
Loses14%44%31%56%57%56%

Form: Polonia Bytom: WWLLLWDWWWLDDLWW • Stal Mielec: LWLDLWWDLLLLLLDD

League goals

Metric Polonia Bytom Stal Mielec
HATHAT
GF total14112591019
GF avg2.01.21.61.01.41.2
GA total41418171431
GA avg0.61.61.11.92.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePolonia BytomStal Mielec
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%63%75%88%
1.544%31%25%69%
2.531%6%6%25%
3.513%6%6%13%
4.50%6%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPolonia BytomStal Mielec
HATHAT
Clean sheets426112
Failed to score235224

Penalties

MetricPolonia BytomStal Mielec
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricPolonia BytomStal Mielec
Wins32
Draws21
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-32-14-5
Biggest losses0-15-00-42-0
Goals For4325
Goals Against2544

Model comparison

MetricPolonia BytomStal Mielec
Form80%20%
Att64%36%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total70.8%29.3%

Advice: Double chance : Polonia Bytom or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ SBO
Draw4.06 @ Pinnacle
Away5.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Polonia Bytom = 2.57 (league 1.56), Stal Mielec = 0.61 (league 1.37)

Stal Mielec
0 1 2 3 4 5
Polonia Bytom 0 4.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.7% 6.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 8.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.7% 7.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.5% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.9% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 6.7%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1