Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.56) 1.80 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.0% 22.8% 59.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.9%
0 - 2
11.6%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Pogoń Siedlce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Polonia Warszawa 0 7.2% 12.9% 11.6% 7.0% 3.1% 1.1%
1 6.0% 10.8% 9.7% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.5% 4.5% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPolonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack47%40%
Defense67%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Polonia Warszawa Pogoń Siedlce
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins38%44%41%25%33%29%
Draws13%44%29%38%44%41%
Loses50%11%29%38%22%29%

Form: Polonia Warszawa: DLWWDLDWDLDLLWWWW • Pogoń Siedlce: DLLWWDDWLLWLDWDDD

League goals

Metric Polonia Warszawa Pogoń Siedlce
HATHAT
GF total10162691221
GF avg1.31.81.51.11.31.2
GA total1511268917
GA avg1.91.21.51.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePolonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%88%76%65%
1.547%35%35%29%
2.512%12%12%6%
3.56%6%0%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPolonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
HATHAT
Clean sheets202336
Failed to score112314

Penalties

MetricPolonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total37

Streaks

MetricPolonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
Wins22
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-43-11-3
Biggest losses1-62-02-32-1
Goals For2433
Goals Against6232

Model comparison

MetricPolonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
Form63%37%
Att54%46%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h62%38%
Goals54%46%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : Polonia Warszawa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ 188Bet
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.34 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Polonia Warszawa = 0.83 (league 1.56), Pogoń Siedlce = 1.80 (league 1.38)

Pogoń Siedlce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Polonia Warszawa 0 7.2% 12.9% 11.6% 7.0% 3.1% 1.1%
1 6.0% 10.8% 9.7% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.5% 4.5% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.0% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 59.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1