Mon, Dec 1 2025 • 16:00 • Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.96 (league 1.56) 1.98 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.8% 20.9% 38.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
7.5%
1 - 2
7.5%
2 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stal Rzeszów 0 1.9% 3.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
1 3.8% 7.5% 7.5% 4.9% 2.4% 1.0%
2 3.7% 7.4% 7.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9%
3 2.4% 4.8% 4.8% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.2% 2.4% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStal RzeszówPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack41%65%
Defense47%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stal Rzeszów Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins44%50%47%56%50%53%
Draws33%0%18%44%13%29%
Loses22%50%35%0%38%18%

Form: Stal Rzeszów: LWDWDLLWWLWWLLDWW • Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: WDWLWLDLDWWWDWWWD

League goals

Metric Stal Rzeszów Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
HATHAT
GF total151328231336
GF avg1.71.61.62.61.62.1
GA total151328111425
GA avg1.71.61.61.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStal RzeszówPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%82%94%88%
1.547%59%76%41%
2.518%12%29%18%
3.56%12%12%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStal RzeszówPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricStal RzeszówPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricStal RzeszówPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Wins23
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-44-02-3
Biggest losses1-44-03-0
Goals For3443
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricStal RzeszówPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Form39%61%
Att39%61%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Double chance : Stal Rzeszów or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away2.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ William Hill
No3.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stal Rzeszów = 1.96 (league 1.56), Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki = 1.98 (league 1.38)

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stal Rzeszów 0 1.9% 3.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
1 3.8% 7.5% 7.5% 4.9% 2.4% 1.0%
2 3.7% 7.4% 7.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9%
3 2.4% 4.8% 4.8% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.2% 2.4% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.8% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 38.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1