Mon, Feb 23 2026 • 17:00 • Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.54) 1.95 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.6% 22.0% 49.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
ŁKS Łódź
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stal Mielec 0 3.7% 7.1% 6.9% 4.5% 2.2% 0.9%
1 5.0% 9.7% 9.4% 6.1% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.4% 6.6% 6.4% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.5% 3.0% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStal MielecŁKS Łódź
Played55
Form7%53%
Attack33%53%
Defense0%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 38 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stal Mielec ŁKS Łódź
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins10%18%14%50%27%38%
Draws30%18%24%30%18%24%
Loses60%64%62%20%55%38%

Form: Stal Mielec: LWLDLWWDLLLLLLDDLLLLD • ŁKS Łódź: WLWLWLDDLDLWWLWLWDDWL

League goals

Metric Stal Mielec ŁKS Łódź
HATHAT
GF total101424171532
GF avg1.01.31.11.71.41.5
GA total192746112334
GA avg1.92.52.21.12.11.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStal MielecŁKS Łódź
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%90%81%81%
1.524%71%38%48%
2.55%33%19%24%
3.55%19%10%5%
4.55%5%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStal MielecŁKS Łódź
HATHAT
Clean sheets112404
Failed to score235224

Penalties

MetricStal MielecŁKS Łódź
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricStal MielecŁKS Łódź
Wins22
Draws22
Losses61

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-14-55-01-4
Biggest losses0-45-20-35-0
Goals For2554
Goals Against4535

Model comparison

MetricStal MielecŁKS Łódź
Form11%89%
Att38%62%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h40%60%
Goals40%60%
Total33.8%66.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or ŁKS Łódź

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.58 @ 1xBet
Draw3.50 @ Unibet
Away2.14 @ SBO

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ SBO
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ 188Bet
No2.22 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stal Mielec = 1.36 (league 1.54), ŁKS Łódź = 1.95 (league 1.37)

ŁKS Łódź
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stal Mielec 0 3.7% 7.1% 6.9% 4.5% 2.2% 0.9%
1 5.0% 9.7% 9.4% 6.1% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.4% 6.6% 6.4% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.5% 3.0% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.6% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 49.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1