Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 18:30 • Stadion Miejski
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.54) 1.59 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.0% 21.8% 31.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.0%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Polonia Warszawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 0 2.9% 4.6% 3.7% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 5.7% 9.0% 7.2% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.5% 8.8% 7.0% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.6% 5.7% 4.5% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.7% 2.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPogoń Grod. MazowieckiPolonia Warszawa
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack31%77%
Defense54%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Polonia Warszawa
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins50%33%42%42%50%46%
Draws50%25%38%17%42%29%
Loses0%42%21%42%8%25%

Form: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: WDWLWLDLDWWWDWWWDLDDDDWL • Polonia Warszawa: DLWWDLDWDLDLLWWWWWDWDWWL

League goals

Metric Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Polonia Warszawa
HATHAT
GF total271441172239
GF avg2.31.21.71.41.81.6
GA total141933181533
GA avg1.21.61.41.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePogoń Grod. MazowieckiPolonia Warszawa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%88%83%83%
1.558%33%50%33%
2.521%17%17%8%
3.58%0%8%4%
4.50%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPogoń Grod. MazowieckiPolonia Warszawa
HATHAT
Clean sheets213404
Failed to score044314

Penalties

MetricPogoń Grod. MazowieckiPolonia Warszawa
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricPogoń Grod. MazowieckiPolonia Warszawa
Wins35
Draws41
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-35-21-4
Biggest losses3-01-62-0
Goals For4354
Goals Against3362

Model comparison

MetricPogoń Grod. MazowieckiPolonia Warszawa
Form38%63%
Att29%71%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total50.3%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.91 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away2.55 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.35 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.63 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki = 1.95 (league 1.54), Polonia Warszawa = 1.59 (league 1.36)

Polonia Warszawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 0 2.9% 4.6% 3.7% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 5.7% 9.0% 7.2% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.5% 8.8% 7.0% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.6% 5.7% 4.5% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.7% 2.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.0% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 31.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1