Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 19:30 • Bogdanka Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.54) 1.49 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.9% 26.3% 52.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.6%
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 2
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Górnik Łęczna 0 9.8% 14.6% 10.9% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.2% 12.2% 9.1% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 3.4% 5.0% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGórnik ŁęcznaPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack29%43%
Defense57%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Górnik Łęczna Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
HATHAT
Played131225131225
Wins15%0%8%54%33%44%
Draws31%58%44%46%25%36%
Loses54%42%48%0%42%20%

Form: Górnik Łęczna: LLDDDDDLDLLWDLLLLDLLDWDLD • Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: WDWLWLDLDWWWDWWWDLDDDDWLW

League goals

Metric Górnik Łęczna Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
HATHAT
GF total111627301444
GF avg0.81.31.12.31.21.8
GA total222446161935
GA avg1.72.01.81.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGórnik ŁęcznaPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%92%84%88%
1.524%64%60%36%
2.54%24%24%16%
3.50%4%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGórnik ŁęcznaPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score415044

Penalties

MetricGórnik ŁęcznaPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricGórnik ŁęcznaPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Wins13
Draws54
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-04-02-3
Biggest losses0-43-13-0
Goals For2343
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricGórnik ŁęcznaPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Form43%57%
Att40%60%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h80%20%
Goals56%44%
Total51.5%48.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.48 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away2.59 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ 1xBet
No2.33 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Górnik Łęczna = 0.83 (league 1.54), Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki = 1.49 (league 1.37)

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Górnik Łęczna 0 9.8% 14.6% 10.9% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.2% 12.2% 9.1% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 3.4% 5.0% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.9% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 52.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1