Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 16:00 • Stadio Comunale Bellinzona
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.54) 0.47 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.5% 42.7% 21.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.8%
1 - 0
21.6%
0 - 1
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
Étoile Carouge
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bellinzona 0 31.8% 14.8% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.6% 10.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBellinzonaÉtoile Carouge
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack22%56%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bellinzona Étoile Carouge
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins0%0%0%25%0%13%
Draws67%40%50%50%0%25%
Loses33%60%50%25%100%63%

Form: Bellinzona: LDLLDLDD • Étoile Carouge: LDLLDLWL

League goals

Metric Bellinzona Étoile Carouge
HATHAT
GF total235516
GF avg0.70.60.61.30.30.8
GA total612186612
GA avg2.02.42.31.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBellinzonaÉtoile Carouge
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%63%100%
1.513%50%13%38%
2.50%38%0%13%
3.50%25%0%0%
4.50%25%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBellinzonaÉtoile Carouge
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score134033

Penalties

MetricBellinzonaÉtoile Carouge
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBellinzonaÉtoile Carouge
Wins01
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1
Biggest losses1-56-01-32-0
Goals For1221
Goals Against5632

Model comparison

MetricBellinzonaÉtoile Carouge
Form43%57%
Att29%71%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals33%67%
Total43.8%56.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Étoile Carouge

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Marathonbet
Away3.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bellinzona = 0.68 (league 1.54), Étoile Carouge = 0.47 (league 1.29)

Étoile Carouge
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bellinzona 0 31.8% 14.8% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.6% 10.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.5% · Draw 42.7% · Away win 21.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1