Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 18:15 • Stade de la Fontenette
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.56) 2.67 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.6% 17.5% 57.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.3%
1 - 3
7.4%
2 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Neuchatel Xamax FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Étoile Carouge 0 1.5% 4.1% 5.5% 4.9% 3.3% 1.7%
1 2.3% 6.2% 8.3% 7.4% 4.9% 2.6%
2 1.7% 4.6% 6.2% 5.5% 3.7% 2.0%
3 0.9% 2.3% 3.1% 2.8% 1.8% 1.0%
4 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricÉtoile CarougeNeuchatel Xamax FC
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack44%50%
Defense56%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Étoile Carouge Neuchatel Xamax FC
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%20%22%40%50%44%
Draws50%0%22%40%0%22%
Loses25%80%56%20%50%33%

Form: Étoile Carouge: LDLLDLWLW • Neuchatel Xamax FC: DWLWDLWWL

League goals

Metric Étoile Carouge Neuchatel Xamax FC
HATHAT
GF total5497916
GF avg1.30.81.01.42.31.8
GA total66126713
GA avg1.51.21.31.21.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineÉtoile CarougeNeuchatel Xamax FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%89%78%100%
1.522%33%44%33%
2.511%11%33%11%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricÉtoile CarougeNeuchatel Xamax FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score033112

Penalties

MetricÉtoile CarougeNeuchatel Xamax FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricÉtoile CarougeNeuchatel Xamax FC
Wins12
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-33-11-5
Biggest losses1-32-00-23-1
Goals For2335
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricÉtoile CarougeNeuchatel Xamax FC
Form50%50%
Att47%53%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h80%20%
Goals69%31%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Étoile Carouge or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away2.12 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ SBO
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.22 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Étoile Carouge = 1.50 (league 1.56), Neuchatel Xamax FC = 2.67 (league 1.29)

Neuchatel Xamax FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Étoile Carouge 0 1.5% 4.1% 5.5% 4.9% 3.3% 1.7%
1 2.3% 6.2% 8.3% 7.4% 4.9% 2.6%
2 1.7% 4.6% 6.2% 5.5% 3.7% 2.0%
3 0.9% 2.3% 3.1% 2.8% 1.8% 1.0%
4 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.6% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 57.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1