Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 18:15 • Stade Olympique de la Pontaise
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.54) 2.33 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.0% 19.5% 53.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.0%
1 - 1
7.7%
1 - 3
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
FC Aarau
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 0 2.3% 5.3% 6.2% 4.8% 2.8% 1.3%
1 3.3% 7.7% 9.0% 7.0% 4.1% 1.9%
2 2.4% 5.6% 6.5% 5.1% 3.0% 1.4%
3 1.2% 2.7% 3.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.7%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStade Lausanne-OuchyFC Aarau
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack44%56%
Defense69%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stade Lausanne-Ouchy FC Aarau
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%60%44%80%100%89%
Draws75%0%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%40%22%20%0%11%

Form: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy: DLDWLWWDW • FC Aarau: WWWWWWWWL

League goals

Metric Stade Lausanne-Ouchy FC Aarau
HATHAT
GF total681481220
GF avg1.51.61.61.63.02.2
GA total4812268
GA avg1.01.61.30.41.50.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStade Lausanne-OuchyFC Aarau
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%78%100%44%
1.567%33%56%22%
2.50%22%44%11%
3.50%0%11%11%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStade Lausanne-OuchyFC Aarau
HATHAT
Clean sheets112415
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricStade Lausanne-OuchyFC Aarau
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricStade Lausanne-OuchyFC Aarau
Wins28
Draws10
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-01-3
Biggest losses—3-01-2—
Goals For2235
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricStade Lausanne-OuchyFC Aarau
Form45%55%
Att44%56%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h15%85%
Goals31%69%
Total35.2%65.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Aarau

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Unibet
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away2.75 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.52 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stade Lausanne-Ouchy = 1.46 (league 1.54), FC Aarau = 2.33 (league 1.29)

FC Aarau
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 0 2.3% 5.3% 6.2% 4.8% 2.8% 1.3%
1 3.3% 7.7% 9.0% 7.0% 4.1% 1.9%
2 2.4% 5.6% 6.5% 5.1% 3.0% 1.4%
3 1.2% 2.7% 3.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.7%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.0% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 53.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1