Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 19:15 • Stade de la Fontenette
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.54) 0.62 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.9% 26.2% 15.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.0%
2 - 0
13.4%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Bellinzona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Étoile Carouge 0 12.1% 7.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.0% 11.2% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 8.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.7% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricÉtoile CarougeBellinzona
Played55
Form40%13%
Attack44%6%
Defense44%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.41 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Étoile Carouge Bellinzona
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins20%17%18%0%0%0%
Draws40%0%18%40%33%36%
Loses40%83%64%60%67%64%

Form: Étoile Carouge: LDLLDLWLWLL • Bellinzona: LDLLDLDDLLL

League goals

Metric Étoile Carouge Bellinzona
HATHAT
GF total5510235
GF avg1.00.80.90.40.50.5
GA total8917121426
GA avg1.61.51.52.42.32.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineÉtoile CarougeBellinzona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%91%36%82%
1.518%45%9%64%
2.59%18%0%45%
3.50%0%0%18%
4.50%0%0%18%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricÉtoile CarougeBellinzona
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score134347

Penalties

MetricÉtoile CarougeBellinzona
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricÉtoile CarougeBellinzona
Wins10
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-3
Biggest losses1-33-11-56-0
Goals For2312
Goals Against3356

Model comparison

MetricÉtoile CarougeBellinzona
Form75%25%
Att88%13%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h75%25%
Goals81%19%
Total73.3%26.8%

Advice: Double chance : Étoile Carouge or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ SBO
Draw3.49 @ Pinnacle
Away3.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ Pinnacle
No1.94 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Étoile Carouge = 1.49 (league 1.54), Bellinzona = 0.62 (league 1.29)

Bellinzona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Étoile Carouge 0 12.1% 7.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.0% 11.2% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 8.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.7% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.9% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 15.5%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1