Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 17:00 • Stadio Comunale Bellinzona
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.58) 5.15 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.4% 1.6% 57.0%
best score tips
0 - 5
12.3%
0 - 4
11.9%
0 - 3
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
FC Aarau
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bellinzona 0 0.4% 2.1% 5.4% 9.3% 11.9% 12.3%
1 0.1% 0.7% 1.9% 3.3% 4.2% 4.4%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBellinzonaFC Aarau
Played55
Form7%80%
Attack0%63%
Defense38%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 010 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bellinzona FC Aarau
HATHAT
Played57127512
Wins0%0%0%86%100%92%
Draws40%29%33%0%0%0%
Loses60%71%67%14%0%8%

Form: Bellinzona: LDLLDLDDLLLL • FC Aarau: WWWWWWWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Bellinzona FC Aarau
HATHAT
GF total235121426
GF avg0.40.40.41.72.82.2
GA total1216283710
GA avg2.42.32.30.41.40.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBellinzonaFC Aarau
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%83%100%50%
1.58%67%67%17%
2.50%42%33%8%
3.50%17%8%8%
4.50%17%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBellinzonaFC Aarau
HATHAT
Clean sheets112516
Failed to score358000

Penalties

MetricBellinzonaFC Aarau
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricBellinzonaFC Aarau
Wins08
Draws20
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-01-3
Biggest losses1-56-01-2—
Goals For1235
Goals Against5624

Model comparison

MetricBellinzonaFC Aarau
Form8%92%
Att0%100%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution7%93%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total22.6%77.4%

Advice: Winner : FC Aarau

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.75 @ 1xBet
Draw4.54 @ Pinnacle
Away1.57 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ SBO
Under 2.52.12 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bellinzona = 0.35 (league 1.58), FC Aarau = 5.15 (league 1.31)

FC Aarau
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bellinzona 0 0.4% 2.1% 5.4% 9.3% 11.9% 12.3%
1 0.1% 0.7% 1.9% 3.3% 4.2% 4.4%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.4% · Draw 1.6% · Away win 57.0%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1