Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 19:15 • Stade de la Maladière
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.54) 2.52 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.6% 18.8% 44.4%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.9%
1 - 2
6.7%
2 - 3
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
FC Aarau
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neuchatel Xamax FC 0 1.0% 2.5% 3.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.9%
1 2.1% 5.3% 6.7% 5.6% 3.5% 1.8%
2 2.2% 5.5% 6.9% 5.8% 3.7% 1.9%
3 1.5% 3.8% 4.8% 4.0% 2.5% 1.3%
4 0.8% 2.0% 2.5% 2.1% 1.3% 0.7%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNeuchatel Xamax FCFC Aarau
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack47%47%
Defense53%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Neuchatel Xamax FC FC Aarau
HATHAT
Played76138614
Wins43%50%46%75%83%79%
Draws43%0%23%0%0%0%
Loses14%50%31%25%17%21%

Form: Neuchatel Xamax FC: DWLWDLWWLWWLD • FC Aarau: WWWWWWWWLWWWLL

League goals

Metric Neuchatel Xamax FC FC Aarau
HATHAT
GF total111223121527
GF avg1.62.01.81.52.51.9
GA total991841216
GA avg1.31.51.40.52.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNeuchatel Xamax FCFC Aarau
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%92%93%57%
1.554%38%57%21%
2.523%8%29%14%
3.58%0%7%14%
4.58%0%7%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNeuchatel Xamax FCFC Aarau
HATHAT
Clean sheets011516
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricNeuchatel Xamax FCFC Aarau
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricNeuchatel Xamax FCFC Aarau
Wins28
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-53-01-3
Biggest losses0-23-11-25-1
Goals For3535
Goals Against2325

Model comparison

MetricNeuchatel Xamax FCFC Aarau
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Aarau

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Unibet
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away2.34 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ William Hill
No2.54 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Neuchatel Xamax FC = 2.07 (league 1.54), FC Aarau = 2.52 (league 1.29)

FC Aarau
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neuchatel Xamax FC 0 1.0% 2.5% 3.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.9%
1 2.1% 5.3% 6.7% 5.6% 3.5% 1.8%
2 2.2% 5.5% 6.9% 5.8% 3.7% 1.9%
3 1.5% 3.8% 4.8% 4.0% 2.5% 1.3%
4 0.8% 2.0% 2.5% 2.1% 1.3% 0.7%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.6% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 44.4%

Vtot 14 , Vtod1