Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 19:15 • Stadion Brügglifeld
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.54) 0.23 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.2% 27.3% 6.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
27.7%
0 - 0
20.3%
2 - 0
18.8%
Score & goals probability table
Étoile Carouge
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Aarau 0 20.3% 4.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.7% 6.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.8% 4.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.5% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC AarauÉtoile Carouge
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack64%18%
Defense18%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Aarau Étoile Carouge
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins75%88%81%25%13%19%
Draws0%0%0%38%13%25%
Loses25%13%19%38%75%56%

Form: FC Aarau: WWWWWWWWLWWWLLWW • Étoile Carouge: LDLLDLWLWLLWDLLD

League goals

Metric FC Aarau Étoile Carouge
HATHAT
GF total1219317512
GF avg1.52.41.90.90.60.8
GA total41418101121
GA avg0.51.81.11.31.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC AarauÉtoile Carouge
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%63%50%75%
1.563%19%19%44%
2.525%13%6%13%
3.56%13%0%0%
4.56%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC AarauÉtoile Carouge
HATHAT
Clean sheets516224
Failed to score101358

Penalties

MetricFC AarauÉtoile Carouge
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricFC AarauÉtoile Carouge
Wins81
Draws01
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-32-00-3
Biggest losses1-25-11-33-1
Goals For3523
Goals Against2533

Model comparison

MetricFC AarauÉtoile Carouge
Form64%36%
Att78%22%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total60.7%39.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : FC Aarau or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ Betano
Draw4.57 @ Pinnacle
Away6.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Aarau = 1.36 (league 1.54), Étoile Carouge = 0.23 (league 1.29)

Étoile Carouge
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Aarau 0 20.3% 4.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.7% 6.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.8% 4.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.5% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.2% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 6.2%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1