Thu, Dec 4 2025 • 19:00 • GelreDome
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.79) 2.17 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.5% 20.5% 52.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
8.5%
1 - 3
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
De Graafschap
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitesse 0 2.8% 6.0% 6.5% 4.7% 2.5% 1.1%
1 3.9% 8.5% 9.2% 6.7% 3.6% 1.6%
2 2.8% 6.0% 6.6% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1%
3 1.3% 2.9% 3.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVitesseDe Graafschap
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack55%100%
Defense18%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vitesse De Graafschap
HATHAT
Played79169817
Wins43%33%38%56%38%47%
Draws14%33%25%22%25%24%
Loses43%33%38%22%38%29%

Form: Vitesse: LDWLWWLDWLDWLDWL • De Graafschap: WLLLDWDWDLDWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Vitesse De Graafschap
HATHAT
GF total121628181432
GF avg1.71.81.82.01.81.9
GA total121628131225
GA avg1.71.81.81.41.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVitesseDe Graafschap
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%88%82%94%
1.556%56%65%41%
2.525%19%35%12%
3.513%13%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVitesseDe Graafschap
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricVitesseDe Graafschap
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricVitesseDe Graafschap
Wins24
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-43-11-4
Biggest losses0-44-02-32-0
Goals For3434
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricVitesseDe Graafschap
Form37%63%
Att32%68%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h71%29%
Goals68%32%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or De Graafschap

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ 10Bet
Draw4.14 @ Pinnacle
Away2.20 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.43 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.41 @ Pinnacle
No3.05 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vitesse = 1.42 (league 1.79), De Graafschap = 2.17 (league 1.41)

De Graafschap
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitesse 0 2.8% 6.0% 6.5% 4.7% 2.5% 1.1%
1 3.9% 8.5% 9.2% 6.7% 3.6% 1.6%
2 2.8% 6.0% 6.6% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1%
3 1.3% 2.9% 3.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.5% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 52.2%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1