Thu, Dec 4 2025 • 19:00 • GelreDome
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.77) 2.25 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.8% 20.1% 53.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
1 - 1
8.1%
1 - 3
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
De Graafschap
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitesse 0 2.5% 5.6% 6.3% 4.7% 2.7% 1.2%
1 3.6% 8.1% 9.1% 6.8% 3.8% 1.7%
2 2.6% 5.8% 6.6% 4.9% 2.8% 1.2%
3 1.2% 2.8% 3.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVitesseDe Graafschap
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack57%93%
Defense36%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vitesse De Graafschap
HATHAT
Played78159817
Wins43%38%40%56%38%47%
Draws14%38%27%22%25%24%
Loses43%25%33%22%38%29%

Form: Vitesse: LDWLWWLDWLDWLDW • De Graafschap: WLLLDWDWDLDWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Vitesse De Graafschap
HATHAT
GF total121628181432
GF avg1.72.01.92.01.81.9
GA total121426131225
GA avg1.71.81.71.41.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVitesseDe Graafschap
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%87%82%94%
1.560%53%65%41%
2.527%20%35%12%
3.513%13%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVitesseDe Graafschap
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricVitesseDe Graafschap
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricVitesseDe Graafschap
Wins24
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-43-11-4
Biggest losses0-44-02-32-0
Goals For3434
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricVitesseDe Graafschap
Form40%60%
Att38%62%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h71%29%
Goals68%32%
Total49.7%50.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or De Graafschap

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ 10Bet
Draw3.75 @ Unibet
Away2.15 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Betfair
No2.77 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vitesse = 1.44 (league 1.77), De Graafschap = 2.25 (league 1.36)

De Graafschap
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitesse 0 2.5% 5.6% 6.3% 4.7% 2.7% 1.2%
1 3.6% 8.1% 9.1% 6.8% 3.8% 1.7%
2 2.6% 5.8% 6.6% 4.9% 2.8% 1.2%
3 1.2% 2.8% 3.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.8% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 53.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1