Fri, Sep 5 2025 • 18:00 • Stadion De Vijverberg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.82) 0.57 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.5% 18.5% 9.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.3%
1 - 0
14.9%
3 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Emmen
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 7.3% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.9% 8.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.3% 8.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.5% 6.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.4% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDe GraafschapEmmen
Played34
Form33%25%
Attack25%42%
Defense67%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 15 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.310 | 2.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric De Graafschap Emmen
HATHAT
Played213224
Wins50%0%33%50%0%25%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%100%67%50%100%75%

Form: De Graafschap: WLL • Emmen: LLLW

League goals

Metric De Graafschap Emmen
HATHAT
GF total303415
GF avg1.50.01.02.00.51.3
GA total3145510
GA avg1.51.01.32.52.52.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDe GraafschapEmmen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%100%75%100%
1.533%33%25%75%
2.533%0%25%50%
3.50%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDe GraafschapEmmen
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricDe GraafschapEmmen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDe GraafschapEmmen
Wins10
Draws00
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-23-1
Biggest losses0-11-01-43-1
Goals For3031
Goals Against2143

Model comparison

MetricDe GraafschapEmmen
Form50%50%
Att38%63%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h40%60%
Goals54%46%
Total54.8%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : De Graafschap or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ Unibet
Draw4.74 @ Pinnacle
Away6.12 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.60 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): De Graafschap = 2.06 (league 1.82), Emmen = 0.57 (league 1.32)

Emmen
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 7.3% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.9% 8.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.3% 8.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.5% 6.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.4% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.5% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 9.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1