Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 18:00 • GelreDome
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.82) 1.33 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.0% 28.7% 58.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.1%
0 - 0
16.7%
0 - 2
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Helmond Sport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitesse 0 16.7% 22.1% 14.6% 6.5% 2.1% 0.6%
1 7.8% 10.3% 6.8% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVitesseHelmond Sport
Played25
Form17%47%
Attack6%33%
Defense72%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.56 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 2.56 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vitesse Helmond Sport
HATHAT
Played022336
Wins0%0%67%0%33%
Draws50%50%0%33%17%
Loses50%50%33%67%50%

Form: Vitesse: LD • Helmond Sport: LDWLLW

League goals

Metric Vitesse Helmond Sport
HATHAT
GF total011527
GF avg0.00.50.51.70.71.2
GA total055459
GA avg0.02.52.51.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVitesseHelmond Sport
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%83%83%
1.50%50%33%50%
2.50%50%0%17%
3.50%50%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVitesseHelmond Sport
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricVitesseHelmond Sport
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVitesseHelmond Sport
Wins01
Draws01
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0
Biggest losses4-01-32-0
Goals For0121
Goals Against0432

Model comparison

MetricVitesseHelmond Sport
Form13%88%
Att14%86%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals33%67%
Total33.0%67.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Helmond Sport

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.00 @ Marathonbet
Draw5.13 @ Pinnacle
Away1.46 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.55 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Pinnacle
No2.15 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vitesse = 0.47 (league 1.82), Helmond Sport = 1.33 (league 1.32)

Helmond Sport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitesse 0 16.7% 22.1% 14.6% 6.5% 2.1% 0.6%
1 7.8% 10.3% 6.8% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.0% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 58.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1