Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:00 • Yanmar Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.14 (league 1.83) 0.90 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.6% 19.5% 14.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.9%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Jong Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almere City FC 0 4.8% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.2% 9.2% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.9% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.8% 7.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.2% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlmere City FCJong Utrecht
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack44%56%
Defense50%39%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Almere City FC Jong Utrecht
HATHAT
Played336437
Wins33%33%33%50%0%29%
Draws0%0%0%25%0%14%
Loses67%67%67%25%100%57%

Form: Almere City FC: WLLLWL • Jong Utrecht: LDWLWLL

League goals

Metric Almere City FC Jong Utrecht
HATHAT
GF total751210212
GF avg2.31.72.02.50.71.7
GA total55109514
GA avg1.71.71.72.31.72.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlmere City FCJong Utrecht
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%86%86%
1.550%50%57%71%
2.533%17%14%29%
3.533%17%14%14%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlmere City FCJong Utrecht
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricAlmere City FCJong Utrecht
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAlmere City FCJong Utrecht
Wins11
Draws01
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-42-0
Biggest losses2-42-02-42-1
Goals For5441
Goals Against4242

Model comparison

MetricAlmere City FCJong Utrecht
Form33%67%
Att44%56%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h93%7%
Goals75%25%
Total62.2%37.8%

Advice: Double chance : Almere City FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.20 @ Pinnacle
Away6.00 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Pinnacle
No2.23 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.58 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Almere City FC = 2.14 (league 1.83), Jong Utrecht = 0.90 (league 1.32)

Jong Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almere City FC 0 4.8% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.2% 9.2% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.9% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.8% 7.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.2% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.6% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 14.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1