Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:00 • Stadion De Vliert
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.62 (league 1.82) 0.90 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.1% 8.8% 5.2%
best score tips
3 - 0
8.6%
4 - 0
7.8%
3 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Den Bosch 0 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.1% 6.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.6% 7.8% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.8% 7.0% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 5.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDen BoschJong AZ
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack72%33%
Defense28%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Den Bosch Jong AZ
HATHAT
Played336437
Wins67%33%50%25%0%14%
Draws33%0%17%0%33%14%
Loses0%67%33%75%67%71%

Form: Den Bosch: WWLDWL • Jong AZ: LLLLWDL

League goals

Metric Den Bosch Jong AZ
HATHAT
GF total10515729
GF avg3.31.72.51.80.71.3
GA total58137613
GA avg1.72.72.21.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDen BoschJong AZ
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%71%86%
1.567%83%29%43%
2.550%50%14%43%
3.533%0%14%14%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDen BoschJong AZ
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricDen BoschJong AZ
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricDen BoschJong AZ
Wins21
Draws11
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-22-44-0
Biggest losses3-01-34-1
Goals For5441
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricDen BoschJong AZ
Form64%36%
Att68%32%
Def32%68%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h50%50%
Goals70%30%
Total61.0%39.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Den Bosch and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ 1xBet
Draw4.22 @ Pinnacle
Away3.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.45 @ Pinnacle
No2.84 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.80 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Den Bosch = 3.62 (league 1.82), Jong AZ = 0.90 (league 1.32)

Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Den Bosch 0 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.1% 6.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.6% 7.8% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.8% 7.0% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 5.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.1% · Draw 8.8% · Away win 5.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1