Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:00 • M-Scores Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.80) 1.05 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.3% 33.6% 47.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.1%
0 - 0
20.0%
1 - 1
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
De Graafschap
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dordrecht 0 20.0% 21.1% 11.1% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.1% 11.7% 6.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 3.1% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDordrechtDe Graafschap
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack44%33%
Defense56%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dordrecht De Graafschap
HATHAT
Played347426
Wins33%50%43%25%50%33%
Draws33%25%29%25%0%17%
Loses33%25%29%50%50%50%

Form: Dordrecht: WWLWDDL • De Graafschap: WLLLDW

League goals

Metric Dordrecht De Graafschap
HATHAT
GF total3710639
GF avg1.01.81.41.51.51.5
GA total358729
GA avg1.01.31.11.81.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDordrechtDe Graafschap
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%57%67%100%
1.529%43%50%33%
2.529%14%33%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDordrechtDe Graafschap
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricDordrechtDe Graafschap
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDordrechtDe Graafschap
Wins21
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-33-21-3
Biggest losses1-22-02-31-0
Goals For1333
Goals Against2331

Model comparison

MetricDordrechtDe Graafschap
Form56%44%
Att57%43%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : Dordrecht or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Bet365
Draw4.01 @ Pinnacle
Away2.33 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.45 @ 188Bet
No2.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dordrecht = 0.56 (league 1.80), De Graafschap = 1.05 (league 1.43)

De Graafschap
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dordrecht 0 20.0% 21.1% 11.1% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.1% 11.7% 6.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 3.1% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.3% · Draw 33.6% · Away win 47.1%

vtt 2 , vtd1