Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:00 • Sportpark De Toekomst
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.54 (league 1.80) 1.27 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.4% 17.6% 17.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.1%
3 - 1
7.7%
1 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
VVV Venlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Ajax 0 2.2% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
1 5.6% 7.1% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
2 7.1% 9.1% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.8% 4.9% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.9% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong AjaxVVV Venlo
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack39%44%
Defense39%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong Ajax VVV Venlo
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%0%14%75%0%43%
Draws33%25%29%0%0%0%
Loses33%75%57%25%100%57%

Form: Jong Ajax: LWLDDLL • VVV Venlo: LLWLWLW

League goals

Metric Jong Ajax VVV Venlo
HATHAT
GF total56116410
GF avg1.71.51.61.51.31.4
GA total410144812
GA avg1.32.52.01.02.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong AjaxVVV Venlo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%86%86%86%
1.543%57%43%57%
2.543%43%14%29%
3.514%14%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong AjaxVVV Venlo
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricJong AjaxVVV Venlo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricJong AjaxVVV Venlo
Wins11
Draws20
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—3-1—
Biggest losses1-32-00-23-1
Goals For4332
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricJong AjaxVVV Venlo
Form18%82%
Att47%53%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or VVV Venlo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.29 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.13 @ Pinnacle
Away2.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ 188Bet
No2.85 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong Ajax = 2.54 (league 1.80), VVV Venlo = 1.27 (league 1.33)

VVV Venlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Ajax 0 2.2% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
1 5.6% 7.1% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
2 7.1% 9.1% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.8% 4.9% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.9% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.4% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 17.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1