Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:00 • De Geusselt
Match Finished

MVV

1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.78) 1.90 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.3% 21.8% 59.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.5%
0 - 2
10.9%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Emmen
0 1 2 3 4 5
MVV 0 6.0% 11.5% 10.9% 6.9% 3.3% 1.3%
1 5.4% 10.4% 9.9% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1%
2 2.5% 4.7% 4.5% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5%
3 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMVVEmmen
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack17%50%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MVV Emmen
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%25%14%50%33%43%
Draws0%25%14%25%0%14%
Loses100%50%71%25%67%43%

Form: MVV: LLWDLLL • Emmen: LLLWWDW

League goals

Metric MVV Emmen
HATHAT
GF total2137411
GF avg0.70.30.41.81.31.6
GA total65116713
GA avg2.01.31.61.52.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMVVEmmen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.529%71%86%86%
1.514%29%43%57%
2.50%29%29%29%
3.50%29%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMVVEmmen
HATHAT
Clean sheets022101
Failed to score235011

Penalties

MetricMVVEmmen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMVVEmmen
Wins12
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-13-12-3
Biggest losses2-44-01-43-1
Goals For2133
Goals Against4443

Model comparison

MetricMVVEmmen
Form29%71%
Att25%75%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total37.2%62.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Emmen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.79 @ Pinnacle
Away2.10 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ William Hill
No2.55 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): MVV = 0.91 (league 1.78), Emmen = 1.90 (league 1.36)

Emmen
0 1 2 3 4 5
MVV 0 6.0% 11.5% 10.9% 6.9% 3.3% 1.3%
1 5.4% 10.4% 9.9% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1%
2 2.5% 4.7% 4.5% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5%
3 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.3% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 59.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1