Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:30 • GelreDome
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.29 (league 1.82) 0.98 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.7% 11.2% 7.5%
best score tips
3 - 0
8.3%
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Willem II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitesse 0 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.6% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.5% 7.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.3% 8.1% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.8% 6.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 4.5% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVitesseWillem II
Played35
Form44%73%
Attack27%47%
Defense60%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.37 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vitesse Willem II
HATHAT
Played123347
Wins100%0%33%67%25%43%
Draws0%50%33%0%50%29%
Loses0%50%33%33%25%29%

Form: Vitesse: LDW • Willem II: LLWWDDW

League goals

Metric Vitesse Willem II
HATHAT
GF total314358
GF avg3.00.51.31.01.31.1
GA total1562810
GA avg1.02.52.00.72.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVitesseWillem II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%86%71%
1.533%33%29%29%
2.533%33%0%14%
3.50%33%0%14%
4.50%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVitesseWillem II
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricVitesseWillem II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVitesseWillem II
Wins02
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-10-1
Biggest losses4-00-15-1
Goals For3122
Goals Against1415

Model comparison

MetricVitesseWillem II
Form27%73%
Att36%64%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Willem II

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.90 @ Betfair
Draw4.10 @ Bet365
Away1.95 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.29 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vitesse = 3.29 (league 1.82), Willem II = 0.98 (league 1.32)

Willem II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitesse 0 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.6% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.5% 7.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.3% 8.1% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.8% 6.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 4.5% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.7% · Draw 11.2% · Away win 7.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1