Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 18:00 • De Vijverberg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.79) 2.17 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.5% 20.5% 52.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
8.5%
1 - 3
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Almere City FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 2.8% 6.0% 6.5% 4.7% 2.5% 1.1%
1 3.9% 8.5% 9.2% 6.7% 3.6% 1.6%
2 2.8% 6.0% 6.6% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1%
3 1.3% 2.9% 3.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDe GraafschapAlmere City FC
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack41%71%
Defense59%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric De Graafschap Almere City FC
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins25%33%29%50%33%43%
Draws25%33%29%0%0%0%
Loses50%33%43%50%67%57%

Form: De Graafschap: WLLLDWD • Almere City FC: WLLLWLW

League goals

Metric De Graafschap Almere City FC
HATHAT
GF total641011516
GF avg1.51.31.42.81.72.3
GA total73105510
GA avg1.81.01.41.31.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDe GraafschapAlmere City FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%100%71%71%
1.543%29%57%43%
2.529%14%43%14%
3.50%0%43%14%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDe GraafschapAlmere City FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricDe GraafschapAlmere City FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricDe GraafschapAlmere City FC
Wins11
Draws10
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-35-01-4
Biggest losses2-31-02-42-0
Goals For3354
Goals Against3142

Model comparison

MetricDe GraafschapAlmere City FC
Form45%55%
Att37%63%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h62%38%
Goals53%47%
Total48.3%51.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Almere City FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Betfair
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away3.41 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betfair
Under 2.53.13 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Betfair
No3.05 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): De Graafschap = 1.42 (league 1.79), Almere City FC = 2.17 (league 1.41)

Almere City FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 2.8% 6.0% 6.5% 4.7% 2.5% 1.1%
1 3.9% 8.5% 9.2% 6.7% 3.6% 1.6%
2 2.8% 6.0% 6.6% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1%
3 1.3% 2.9% 3.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.5% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 52.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1