Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 18:00 • De Herdgang
Match Finished
2 - 2

MVV

Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.83) 0.11 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.1% 28.5% 3.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
31.8%
0 - 0
24.8%
2 - 0
20.4%
Score & goals probability table
MVV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong PSV 0 24.8% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.8% 3.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.4% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong PSVMVV
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack65%18%
Defense53%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong PSV MVV
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%75%75%25%25%25%
Draws0%0%0%0%25%13%
Loses25%25%25%75%50%63%

Form: Jong PSV: WWWWWLWL • MVV: LLWDLLLW

League goals

Metric Jong PSV MVV
HATHAT
GF total71118314
GF avg1.82.82.30.80.30.5
GA total28106511
GA avg0.52.01.31.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong PSVMVV
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%38%63%
1.575%25%13%25%
2.550%13%0%25%
3.513%13%0%25%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong PSVMVV
HATHAT
Clean sheets213123
Failed to score101235

Penalties

MetricJong PSVMVV
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricJong PSVMVV
Wins51
Draws01
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-41-00-1
Biggest losses0-15-32-44-0
Goals For3421
Goals Against1544

Model comparison

MetricJong PSVMVV
Form69%31%
Att79%21%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h29%71%
Goals45%55%
Total59.7%40.3%

Advice: Double chance : Jong PSV or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ William Hill
Draw4.50 @ Unibet
Away4.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Bet365
No2.88 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong PSV = 1.28 (league 1.83), MVV = 0.11 (league 1.32)

MVV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong PSV 0 24.8% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.8% 3.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.4% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.1% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 3.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1