Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 18:00 • De Oude Meerdijk
Match Finished
2 - 4
Expected Goals
2.47 (league 1.82) 0.57 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.1% 14.3% 6.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.6%
3 - 0
12.0%
1 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Vitesse
0 1 2 3 4 5
Emmen 0 4.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.9% 6.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.6% 8.3% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.0% 6.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.4% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEmmenVitesse
Played54
Form67%33%
Attack45%25%
Defense75%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Emmen Vitesse
HATHAT
Played448224
Wins50%25%38%50%0%25%
Draws25%0%13%0%50%25%
Loses25%75%50%50%50%50%

Form: Emmen: LLLWWDWL • Vitesse: LDWL

League goals

Metric Emmen Vitesse
HATHAT
GF total7411415
GF avg1.81.01.42.00.51.3
GA total6814358
GA avg1.52.01.81.52.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEmmenVitesse
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%75%100%
1.538%50%25%50%
2.525%25%25%25%
3.50%13%0%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEmmenVitesse
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricEmmenVitesse
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricEmmenVitesse
Wins21
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-33-1
Biggest losses1-43-11-24-0
Goals For3331
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricEmmenVitesse
Form71%29%
Att64%36%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h15%85%
Goals35%65%
Total54.8%45.2%

Advice: Winner : Emmen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.52 @ Pinnacle
Away4.90 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.34 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Emmen = 2.47 (league 1.82), Vitesse = 0.57 (league 1.32)

Vitesse
0 1 2 3 4 5
Emmen 0 4.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.9% 6.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.6% 8.3% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.0% 6.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.4% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.1% · Draw 14.3% · Away win 6.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1