Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 18:00 • Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.74 (league 1.82) 2.26 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.4% 17.9% 30.1%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.5%
3 - 2
5.9%
2 - 1
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Utrecht 0 0.7% 1.5% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
1 1.8% 4.2% 4.7% 3.6% 2.0% 0.9%
2 2.5% 5.7% 6.5% 4.9% 2.8% 1.2%
3 2.3% 5.2% 5.9% 4.5% 2.5% 1.1%
4 1.6% 3.6% 4.0% 3.0% 1.7% 0.8%
5 0.9% 2.0% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong UtrechtJong AZ
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack30%45%
Defense40%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong Utrecht Jong AZ
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%0%25%25%25%25%
Draws25%0%13%0%25%13%
Loses25%100%63%75%50%63%

Form: Jong Utrecht: LDWLWLLL • Jong AZ: LLLLWDLW

League goals

Metric Jong Utrecht Jong AZ
HATHAT
GF total102127512
GF avg2.50.51.51.81.31.5
GA total99187815
GA avg2.32.32.31.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong UtrechtJong AZ
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%75%88%
1.550%75%38%50%
2.513%38%25%38%
3.513%25%13%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong UtrechtJong AZ
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricJong UtrechtJong AZ
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricJong UtrechtJong AZ
Wins11
Draws11
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-04-02-3
Biggest losses2-44-01-34-1
Goals For4143
Goals Against4434

Model comparison

MetricJong UtrechtJong AZ
Form30%70%
Att40%60%
Def37%63%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h0%100%
Goals13%87%
Total35.6%64.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Jong AZ and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.02 @ Marathonbet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away2.24 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong Utrecht = 2.74 (league 1.82), Jong AZ = 2.26 (league 1.32)

Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Utrecht 0 0.7% 1.5% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
1 1.8% 4.2% 4.7% 3.6% 2.0% 0.9%
2 2.5% 5.7% 6.5% 4.9% 2.8% 1.2%
3 2.3% 5.2% 5.9% 4.5% 2.5% 1.1%
4 1.6% 3.6% 4.0% 3.0% 1.7% 0.8%
5 0.9% 2.0% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.4% · Draw 17.9% · Away win 30.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1