Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:00 • De Geusselt
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.83) 0.34 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.8% 45.6% 16.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
36.9%
1 - 0
24.2%
0 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
FC Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
MVV 0 36.9% 12.6% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.2% 8.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.0% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMVVFC Eindhoven
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack42%42%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MVV FC Eindhoven
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%20%22%40%25%33%
Draws0%40%22%20%25%22%
Loses75%40%56%40%50%44%

Form: MVV: LLWDLLLWD • FC Eindhoven: WWWDLLLLD

League goals

Metric MVV FC Eindhoven
HATHAT
GF total336718
GF avg0.80.60.71.40.30.9
GA total67137613
GA avg1.51.41.41.41.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMVVFC Eindhoven
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%67%56%56%
1.522%33%22%33%
2.50%22%11%22%
3.50%22%0%22%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMVVFC Eindhoven
HATHAT
Clean sheets123224
Failed to score235134

Penalties

MetricMVVFC Eindhoven
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMVVFC Eindhoven
Wins13
Draws11
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-11-00-1
Biggest losses2-44-03-45-0
Goals For2231
Goals Against4445

Model comparison

MetricMVVFC Eindhoven
Form80%20%
Att50%50%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h71%29%
Goals69%31%
Total67.0%33.0%

Advice: Double chance : MVV or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ William Hill
Draw3.80 @ Unibet
Away3.44 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.35 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ Pinnacle
No2.45 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): MVV = 0.66 (league 1.83), FC Eindhoven = 0.34 (league 1.32)

FC Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
MVV 0 36.9% 12.6% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.2% 8.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.0% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.8% · Draw 45.6% · Away win 16.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1