Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:00 • GelreDome
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.53 (league 1.82) 0.57 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.6% 13.8% 6.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.5%
3 - 0
12.2%
1 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Jong Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitesse 0 4.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.4% 6.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.5% 8.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.2% 6.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.7% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVitesseJong Utrecht
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack75%42%
Defense17%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vitesse Jong Utrecht
HATHAT
Played235549
Wins50%33%40%40%0%22%
Draws0%33%20%40%0%22%
Loses50%33%40%20%100%56%

Form: Vitesse: LDWLW • Jong Utrecht: LDWLWLLLD

League goals

Metric Vitesse Jong Utrecht
HATHAT
GF total45910212
GF avg2.01.71.82.00.51.3
GA total37109918
GA avg1.52.32.01.82.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVitesseJong Utrecht
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%100%67%78%
1.540%60%44%67%
2.540%20%11%33%
3.520%20%11%22%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVitesseJong Utrecht
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricVitesseJong Utrecht
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricVitesseJong Utrecht
Wins11
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-42-0
Biggest losses1-24-02-44-0
Goals For3441
Goals Against2444

Model comparison

MetricVitesseJong Utrecht
Form64%36%
Att64%36%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h100%0%
Goals80%20%
Total68.0%32.0%

Advice: Winner : Vitesse

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away2.95 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.48 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Vitesse = 2.53 (league 1.82), Jong Utrecht = 0.57 (league 1.32)

Jong Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitesse 0 4.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.4% 6.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.5% 8.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.2% 6.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.7% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.6% · Draw 13.8% · Away win 6.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1