Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:00 • Koning Willem II Stadion
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.82) 0.68 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.7% 38.4% 29.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.8%
1 - 0
17.7%
0 - 1
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
Roda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Willem II 0 24.8% 16.9% 5.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.7% 12.0% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.3% 4.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWillem IIRoda
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack58%67%
Defense67%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Willem II Roda
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins75%40%56%20%75%44%
Draws0%40%22%60%0%33%
Loses25%20%22%20%25%22%

Form: Willem II: LLWWDDWWW • Roda: WWLDDWLWD

League goals

Metric Willem II Roda
HATHAT
GF total47116713
GF avg1.01.41.21.21.81.4
GA total29118513
GA avg0.51.81.21.61.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWillem IIRoda
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%67%89%67%
1.533%22%33%33%
2.50%11%22%33%
3.50%11%0%11%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWillem IIRoda
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricWillem IIRoda
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricWillem IIRoda
Wins22
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-21-01-3
Biggest losses0-15-11-43-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against1543

Model comparison

MetricWillem IIRoda
Form58%42%
Att47%53%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total57.3%42.7%

Advice: Double chance : Willem II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Betfair
Draw3.80 @ Pinnacle
Away3.14 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ Pinnacle
No2.42 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Willem II = 0.71 (league 1.82), Roda = 0.68 (league 1.32)

Roda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Willem II 0 24.8% 16.9% 5.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.7% 12.0% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.3% 4.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.7% · Draw 38.4% · Away win 29.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1