Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 18:00 • Jan Louwers Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.83) 1.91 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.4% 21.6% 40.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.2%
2 - 1
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Vitesse
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Eindhoven 0 2.5% 4.9% 4.6% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
1 4.5% 8.6% 8.2% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9%
2 4.0% 7.6% 7.2% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
3 2.3% 4.4% 4.2% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC EindhovenVitesse
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack33%56%
Defense11%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)16 | 3.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Eindhoven Vitesse
HATHAT
Played5611448
Wins40%17%27%50%25%38%
Draws20%17%18%0%50%25%
Loses40%67%55%50%25%38%

Form: FC Eindhoven: WWWDLLLLDLL • Vitesse: LDWLWWLD

League goals

Metric FC Eindhoven Vitesse
HATHAT
GF total7297714
GF avg1.40.30.81.81.81.8
GA total715225914
GA avg1.42.52.01.32.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC EindhovenVitesse
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%64%88%88%
1.518%45%50%63%
2.59%36%25%13%
3.50%27%13%13%
4.50%18%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC EindhovenVitesse
HATHAT
Clean sheets224101
Failed to score145011

Penalties

MetricFC EindhovenVitesse
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricFC EindhovenVitesse
Wins32
Draws11
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-13-12-4
Biggest losses3-46-01-24-0
Goals For3134
Goals Against4624

Model comparison

MetricFC EindhovenVitesse
Form13%88%
Att38%63%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total39.0%61.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Vitesse and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.78 @ Pinnacle
Away2.63 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Pinnacle
No2.45 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Eindhoven = 1.76 (league 1.83), Vitesse = 1.91 (league 1.32)

Vitesse
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Eindhoven 0 2.5% 4.9% 4.6% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
1 4.5% 8.6% 8.2% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9%
2 4.0% 7.6% 7.2% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
3 2.3% 4.4% 4.2% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.4% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 40.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1