Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 18:00 • GS Staalwerken Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.82) 0.76 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.0% 27.4% 20.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Helmond Sport 0 11.5% 8.7% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.2% 12.2% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.3% 8.6% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.3% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHelmond SportJong AZ
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack33%28%
Defense67%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Helmond Sport Jong AZ
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins80%0%40%20%20%20%
Draws0%20%10%0%40%20%
Loses20%80%50%80%40%60%

Form: Helmond Sport: LDWLLWLWLW • Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDL

League goals

Metric Helmond Sport Jong AZ
HATHAT
GF total83117512
GF avg1.60.61.11.41.01.2
GA total591411819
GA avg1.01.81.42.21.61.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHelmond SportJong AZ
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%60%80%
1.530%40%30%50%
2.50%20%20%40%
3.50%0%10%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHelmond SportJong AZ
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score022224

Penalties

MetricHelmond SportJong AZ
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricHelmond SportJong AZ
Wins11
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-04-02-3
Biggest losses1-33-10-44-1
Goals For2143
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricHelmond SportJong AZ
Form64%36%
Att55%45%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h71%29%
Goals59%41%
Total63.0%37.2%

Advice: Double chance : Helmond Sport or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ 188Bet
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.38 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Unibet
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Helmond Sport = 1.40 (league 1.82), Jong AZ = 0.76 (league 1.32)

Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Helmond Sport 0 11.5% 8.7% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.2% 12.2% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.3% 8.6% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.3% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.0% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 20.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1