Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 18:00 • Sportcomplex De Toekomst
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.79) 3.67 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.1% 13.0% 55.4%
best score tips
1 - 3
6.2%
1 - 4
5.7%
2 - 3
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
Jong PSV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Ajax 0 0.4% 1.5% 2.8% 3.4% 3.1% 2.3%
1 0.8% 2.8% 5.1% 6.2% 5.7% 4.2%
2 0.7% 2.5% 4.6% 5.6% 5.2% 3.8%
3 0.4% 1.5% 2.8% 3.4% 3.1% 2.3%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong AjaxJong PSV
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack33%50%
Defense33%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong Ajax Jong PSV
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%0%10%60%60%60%
Draws40%20%30%20%20%20%
Loses40%80%60%20%20%20%

Form: Jong Ajax: LWLDDLLLLD • Jong PSV: WWWWWLWLDD

League goals

Metric Jong Ajax Jong PSV
HATHAT
GF total971691221
GF avg1.81.41.61.82.42.1
GA total1012224913
GA avg2.02.42.20.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong AjaxJong PSV
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%90%90%70%
1.550%70%70%30%
2.530%40%40%10%
3.510%20%10%10%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong AjaxJong PSV
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricJong AjaxJong PSV
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricJong AjaxJong PSV
Wins15
Draws20
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-13-02-4
Biggest losses2-42-00-15-3
Goals For4334
Goals Against4425

Model comparison

MetricJong AjaxJong PSV
Form17%83%
Att40%60%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Jong PSV and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Bet365
Draw4.20 @ Unibet
Away2.58 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.25 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.36 @ Pinnacle
No3.27 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong Ajax = 1.81 (league 1.79), Jong PSV = 3.67 (league 1.31)

Jong PSV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Ajax 0 0.4% 1.5% 2.8% 3.4% 3.1% 2.3%
1 0.8% 2.8% 5.1% 6.2% 5.7% 4.2%
2 0.7% 2.5% 4.6% 5.6% 5.2% 3.8%
3 0.4% 1.5% 2.8% 3.4% 3.1% 2.3%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.1% · Draw 13.0% · Away win 55.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1