Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 18:00 • Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.82) 0.82 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.8% 25.8% 20.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
11.9%
2 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
MVV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Utrecht 0 9.5% 7.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.6% 11.9% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.2% 9.2% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.7% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong UtrechtMVV
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack17%44%
Defense33%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong Utrecht MVV
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%0%20%40%20%30%
Draws40%0%20%0%40%20%
Loses20%100%60%60%40%50%

Form: Jong Utrecht: LDWLWLLLDL • MVV: LLWDLLLWDW

League goals

Metric Jong Utrecht MVV
HATHAT
GF total10212639
GF avg2.00.41.21.20.60.9
GA total911207714
GA avg1.82.22.01.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong UtrechtMVV
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%50%70%
1.540%70%30%30%
2.510%30%10%20%
3.510%20%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong UtrechtMVV
HATHAT
Clean sheets202123
Failed to score134235

Penalties

MetricJong UtrechtMVV
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricJong UtrechtMVV
Wins11
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-10-1
Biggest losses2-44-02-44-0
Goals For4132
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricJong UtrechtMVV
Form13%88%
Att27%73%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h29%71%
Goals28%72%
Total33.8%66.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or MVV

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ Dafabet
Draw3.90 @ Pinnacle
Away3.10 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ 188Bet
No2.45 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Jong Utrecht = 1.53 (league 1.82), MVV = 0.82 (league 1.32)

MVV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Utrecht 0 9.5% 7.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.6% 11.9% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.2% 9.2% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.7% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.8% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 20.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1