Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 16:30 • Mandemakers Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.82) 1.27 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.2% 26.0% 34.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
9.7%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Willem II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Waalwijk 0 7.0% 9.0% 5.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.7% 12.4% 7.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.7% 8.5% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.1% 3.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWaalwijkWillem II
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack56%33%
Defense56%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Waalwijk Willem II
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%40%40%60%40%50%
Draws40%20%30%0%40%20%
Loses20%40%30%40%20%30%

Form: Waalwijk: WDLWLDWLWD • Willem II: LLWWDDWWWL

League goals

Metric Waalwijk Willem II
HATHAT
GF total79165712
GF avg1.41.81.61.01.41.2
GA total68144913
GA avg1.21.61.40.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWaalwijkWillem II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%90%90%70%
1.550%40%30%30%
2.520%10%0%10%
3.510%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWaalwijkWillem II
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricWaalwijkWillem II
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricWaalwijkWillem II
Wins13
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-42-11-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-25-1
Goals For2422
Goals Against3225

Model comparison

MetricWaalwijkWillem II
Form44%56%
Att63%38%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h40%60%
Goals47%53%
Total46.7%53.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Willem II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Unibet
Away3.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.34 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Waalwijk = 1.38 (league 1.82), Willem II = 1.27 (league 1.32)

Willem II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Waalwijk 0 7.0% 9.0% 5.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.7% 12.4% 7.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.7% 8.5% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.1% 3.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.2% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 34.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1