Mon, Oct 20 2025 • 18:00 • AFAS Trainingscomplex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.82) 2.83 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.1% 16.1% 60.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.2%
1 - 3
7.7%
0 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Willem II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong AZ 0 1.5% 4.2% 5.9% 5.6% 4.0% 2.2%
1 2.0% 5.8% 8.2% 7.7% 5.5% 3.1%
2 1.4% 4.0% 5.7% 5.4% 3.8% 2.1%
3 0.7% 1.8% 2.6% 2.5% 1.7% 1.0%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong AZWillem II
Played55
Form27%80%
Attack30%40%
Defense35%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong AZ Willem II
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins20%17%18%60%50%55%
Draws0%33%18%0%33%18%
Loses80%50%64%40%17%27%

Form: Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDLL • Willem II: LLWWDDWWWLW

League goals

Metric Jong AZ Willem II
HATHAT
GF total771451015
GF avg1.41.21.31.01.71.4
GA total11122341115
GA avg2.22.02.10.81.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong AZWillem II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%82%91%73%
1.536%55%36%36%
2.518%45%9%9%
3.59%27%0%9%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong AZWillem II
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score224101

Penalties

MetricJong AZWillem II
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricJong AZWillem II
Wins13
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-32-12-3
Biggest losses0-44-11-25-1
Goals For4323
Goals Against4425

Model comparison

MetricJong AZWillem II
Form25%75%
Att43%57%
Def28%72%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h9%91%
Goals25%75%
Total27.3%72.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Willem II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.94 @ Pinnacle
Away2.32 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Pinnacle
No2.64 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong AZ = 1.38 (league 1.82), Willem II = 2.83 (league 1.32)

Willem II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong AZ 0 1.5% 4.2% 5.9% 5.6% 4.0% 2.2%
1 2.0% 5.8% 8.2% 7.7% 5.5% 3.1%
2 1.4% 4.0% 5.7% 5.4% 3.8% 2.1%
3 0.7% 1.8% 2.6% 2.5% 1.7% 1.0%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.1% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 60.7%

Vtot 4 , Vtod4