Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 18:00 • De Vliert
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.84 (league 1.77) 0.88 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.8% 13.5% 8.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.8%
3 - 0
9.2%
2 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Helmond Sport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Den Bosch 0 2.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.9% 6.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.8% 8.6% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.2% 8.1% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.6% 5.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.7% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDen BoschHelmond Sport
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack50%57%
Defense14%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Den Bosch Helmond Sport
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%50%45%83%0%45%
Draws40%0%18%0%20%9%
Loses20%50%36%17%80%45%

Form: Den Bosch: WWLDWLLWDWL • Helmond Sport: LDWLLWLWLWW

League goals

Metric Den Bosch Helmond Sport
HATHAT
GF total1482212315
GF avg2.81.32.02.00.61.4
GA total1015257916
GA avg2.02.52.31.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDen BoschHelmond Sport
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%82%82%82%
1.564%73%36%45%
2.527%45%9%18%
3.518%9%9%0%
4.59%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDen BoschHelmond Sport
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score022022

Penalties

MetricDen BoschHelmond Sport
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricDen BoschHelmond Sport
Wins21
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-22-44-2—
Biggest losses2-36-01-33-1
Goals For5441
Goals Against3633

Model comparison

MetricDen BoschHelmond Sport
Form44%56%
Att47%53%
Def37%63%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Helmond Sport

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.85 @ Unibet
Away2.88 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.38 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ 188Bet
No2.53 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Den Bosch = 2.84 (league 1.77), Helmond Sport = 0.88 (league 1.36)

Helmond Sport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Den Bosch 0 2.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.9% 6.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.8% 8.6% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.2% 8.1% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.6% 5.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.7% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.8% · Draw 13.5% · Away win 8.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1