Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 18:00 • De Geusselt
Match Finished

MVV

3 - 2
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.79) 2.18 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.1% 20.1% 57.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.7%
1 - 1
8.9%
0 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Vitesse
0 1 2 3 4 5
MVV 0 3.4% 7.4% 8.0% 5.9% 3.2% 1.4%
1 4.1% 8.9% 9.7% 7.1% 3.9% 1.7%
2 2.4% 5.4% 5.8% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
3 1.0% 2.1% 2.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMVVVitesse
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack50%93%
Defense50%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MVV Vitesse
HATHAT
Played5611459
Wins40%17%27%50%40%44%
Draws0%33%18%0%40%22%
Loses60%50%55%50%20%33%

Form: MVV: LLWDLLLWDWL • Vitesse: LDWLWWLDW

League goals

Metric MVV Vitesse
HATHAT
GF total641071118
GF avg1.20.70.91.82.22.0
GA total710175914
GA avg1.41.71.51.31.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMVVVitesse
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%73%89%78%
1.527%36%56%56%
2.59%27%33%11%
3.50%18%22%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMVVVitesse
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score235011

Penalties

MetricMVVVitesse
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMVVVitesse
Wins12
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-13-10-4
Biggest losses2-44-01-24-0
Goals For3234
Goals Against4424

Model comparison

MetricMVVVitesse
Form41%59%
Att35%65%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h20%80%
Goals40%60%
Total36.0%64.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Vitesse

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ William Hill
Draw3.73 @ Pinnacle
Away2.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Pinnacle
No2.43 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): MVV = 1.21 (league 1.79), Vitesse = 2.18 (league 1.41)

Vitesse
0 1 2 3 4 5
MVV 0 3.4% 7.4% 8.0% 5.9% 3.2% 1.4%
1 4.1% 8.9% 9.7% 7.1% 3.9% 1.7%
2 2.4% 5.4% 5.8% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
3 1.0% 2.1% 2.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.1% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 57.2%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1