Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 18:00 • De Geusselt
Match Finished

MVV

3 - 2
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.82) 2.34 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.0% 18.9% 59.8%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.5%
1 - 1
8.2%
0 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Vitesse
0 1 2 3 4 5
MVV 0 2.9% 6.9% 8.0% 6.3% 3.7% 1.7%
1 3.5% 8.2% 9.5% 7.4% 4.4% 2.0%
2 2.1% 4.9% 5.7% 4.4% 2.6% 1.2%
3 0.8% 1.9% 2.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMVVVitesse
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack50%93%
Defense50%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MVV Vitesse
HATHAT
Played5611459
Wins40%17%27%50%40%44%
Draws0%33%18%0%40%22%
Loses60%50%55%50%20%33%

Form: MVV: LLWDLLLWDWL • Vitesse: LDWLWWLDW

League goals

Metric MVV Vitesse
HATHAT
GF total641071118
GF avg1.20.70.91.82.22.0
GA total710175914
GA avg1.41.71.51.31.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMVVVitesse
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%73%89%78%
1.527%36%56%56%
2.59%27%33%11%
3.50%18%22%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMVVVitesse
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score235011

Penalties

MetricMVVVitesse
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMVVVitesse
Wins12
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-13-10-4
Biggest losses2-44-01-24-0
Goals For3234
Goals Against4424

Model comparison

MetricMVVVitesse
Form41%59%
Att35%65%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h20%80%
Goals40%60%
Total36.0%64.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Vitesse

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ William Hill
Draw3.73 @ Pinnacle
Away2.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Pinnacle
No2.43 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): MVV = 1.19 (league 1.82), Vitesse = 2.34 (league 1.32)

Vitesse
0 1 2 3 4 5
MVV 0 2.9% 6.9% 8.0% 6.3% 3.7% 1.7%
1 3.5% 8.2% 9.5% 7.4% 4.4% 2.0%
2 2.1% 4.9% 5.7% 4.4% 2.6% 1.2%
3 0.8% 1.9% 2.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.0% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 59.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1