Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 18:00 • Frans Heesen Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.14 (league 1.79) 1.39 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.5% 20.7% 24.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 1
8.7%
2 - 0
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Jong Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC OSS 0 2.9% 4.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.3% 8.7% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.7% 9.3% 6.5% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.8% 6.7% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.6% 3.6% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC OSSJong Ajax
Played55
Form33%13%
Attack57%50%
Defense14%21%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC OSS Jong Ajax
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%17%27%17%0%9%
Draws20%33%27%50%20%36%
Loses40%50%45%33%80%55%

Form: FC OSS: WLLLDWWLLDD • Jong Ajax: LWLDDLLLLDD

League goals

Metric FC OSS Jong Ajax
HATHAT
GF total891711718
GF avg1.61.51.51.81.41.6
GA total71623121224
GA avg1.42.72.12.02.42.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC OSSJong Ajax
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%91%73%91%
1.536%45%55%73%
2.518%36%27%36%
3.518%18%9%18%
4.50%18%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC OSSJong Ajax
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricFC OSSJong Ajax
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFC OSSJong Ajax
Wins21
Draws12
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-03-44-1—
Biggest losses0-35-12-42-0
Goals For4443
Goals Against3544

Model comparison

MetricFC OSSJong Ajax
Form71%29%
Att53%47%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total60.3%39.7%

Advice: Double chance : FC OSS or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ Betano
Draw4.10 @ Pinnacle
Away3.79 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.48 @ Unibet
No2.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FC OSS = 2.14 (league 1.79), Jong Ajax = 1.39 (league 1.41)

Jong Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC OSS 0 2.9% 4.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.3% 8.7% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.7% 9.3% 6.5% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.8% 6.7% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.6% 3.6% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.5% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 24.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1