Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 18:00 • Yanmar Stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.52 (league 1.82) 1.18 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.1% 17.5% 15.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.3%
2 - 0
7.8%
3 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almere City FC 0 2.5% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 6.2% 7.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.8% 9.3% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.6% 7.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.2% 4.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlmere City FCJong AZ
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack50%30%
Defense60%35%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Almere City FC Jong AZ
HATHAT
Played65115611
Wins33%20%27%20%17%18%
Draws33%0%18%0%33%18%
Loses33%80%55%80%50%64%

Form: Almere City FC: WLLLWLWLLDD • Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDLL

League goals

Metric Almere City FC Jong AZ
HATHAT
GF total148227714
GF avg2.31.62.01.41.21.3
GA total81018111223
GA avg1.32.01.62.22.02.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlmere City FCJong AZ
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%82%64%82%
1.555%55%36%55%
2.527%18%18%45%
3.527%9%9%27%
4.59%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlmere City FCJong AZ
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricAlmere City FCJong AZ
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAlmere City FCJong AZ
Wins11
Draws01
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-44-02-3
Biggest losses2-42-00-44-1
Goals For5443
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricAlmere City FCJong AZ
Form56%44%
Att63%38%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total55.7%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Almere City FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw4.20 @ Unibet
Away4.33 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.60 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Betano
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Almere City FC = 2.52 (league 1.82), Jong AZ = 1.18 (league 1.32)

Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almere City FC 0 2.5% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 6.2% 7.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.8% 9.3% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.6% 7.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.2% 4.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.1% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 15.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1