Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 18:00 • Yanmar Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.57 (league 1.79) 1.11 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.2% 16.8% 14.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.3%
2 - 0
8.4%
3 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almere City FC 0 2.5% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 6.5% 7.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.3% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.2% 7.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.6% 5.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.4% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlmere City FCJong AZ
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack55%82%
Defense9%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Almere City FC Jong AZ
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins33%17%25%33%17%25%
Draws33%0%17%0%33%17%
Loses33%83%58%67%50%58%

Form: Almere City FC: WLLLWLWLLDDL • Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDLLW

League goals

Metric Almere City FC Jong AZ
HATHAT
GF total1482211718
GF avg2.31.31.81.81.21.5
GA total81220111223
GA avg1.32.01.71.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlmere City FCJong AZ
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%83%67%75%
1.550%58%42%50%
2.525%17%25%42%
3.525%8%17%25%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlmere City FCJong AZ
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricAlmere City FCJong AZ
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAlmere City FCJong AZ
Wins11
Draws21
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-44-02-3
Biggest losses2-42-00-44-1
Goals For5443
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricAlmere City FCJong AZ
Form22%78%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Jong AZ

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.79 @ 188Bet
Draw4.25 @ Unibet
Away4.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.69 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Unibet
No2.65 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Almere City FC = 2.57 (league 1.79), Jong AZ = 1.11 (league 1.41)

Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almere City FC 0 2.5% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 6.5% 7.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.3% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.2% 7.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.6% 5.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.4% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.2% · Draw 16.8% · Away win 14.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1