Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 18:00 • De Vijverberg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.77) 2.87 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.8% 16.9% 54.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.2%
1 - 3
6.9%
2 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Jong PSV
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 1.0% 2.9% 4.2% 4.0% 2.9% 1.6%
1 1.7% 5.0% 7.2% 6.9% 4.9% 2.8%
2 1.5% 4.3% 6.2% 5.9% 4.3% 2.4%
3 0.9% 2.5% 3.6% 3.4% 2.4% 1.4%
4 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDe GraafschapJong PSV
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack64%73%
Defense27%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric De Graafschap Jong PSV
HATHAT
Played65116612
Wins33%20%27%50%50%50%
Draws33%40%36%17%33%25%
Loses33%40%36%33%17%25%

Form: De Graafschap: WLLLDWDWDLD • Jong PSV: WWWWWLWLDDDL

League goals

Metric De Graafschap Jong PSV
HATHAT
GF total1061691423
GF avg1.71.21.51.52.31.9
GA total1071771118
GA avg1.71.41.51.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDe GraafschapJong PSV
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%100%83%75%
1.545%45%67%42%
2.527%9%33%17%
3.50%0%8%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDe GraafschapJong PSV
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score123202

Penalties

MetricDe GraafschapJong PSV
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricDe GraafschapJong PSV
Wins15
Draws13
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-33-02-4
Biggest losses2-32-00-35-3
Goals For3334
Goals Against3235

Model comparison

MetricDe GraafschapJong PSV
Form67%33%
Att47%53%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h80%20%
Goals65%35%
Total59.7%40.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : De Graafschap or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.02 @ Pinnacle
Away5.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.31 @ Superbet
Under 2.53.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.42 @ Pinnacle
No3.10 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): De Graafschap = 1.73 (league 1.77), Jong PSV = 2.87 (league 1.36)

Jong PSV
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 1.0% 2.9% 4.2% 4.0% 2.9% 1.6%
1 1.7% 5.0% 7.2% 6.9% 4.9% 2.8%
2 1.5% 4.3% 6.2% 5.9% 4.3% 2.4%
3 0.9% 2.5% 3.6% 3.4% 2.4% 1.4%
4 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.8% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 54.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1