Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 18:00 • De Vijverberg
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.82) 2.96 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.1% 16.3% 55.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.1%
1 - 3
7.0%
2 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Jong PSV
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 1.0% 2.9% 4.2% 4.2% 3.1% 1.8%
1 1.6% 4.8% 7.1% 7.0% 5.2% 3.1%
2 1.4% 4.0% 6.0% 5.9% 4.4% 2.6%
3 0.8% 2.3% 3.3% 3.3% 2.4% 1.4%
4 0.3% 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDe GraafschapJong PSV
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack35%55%
Defense60%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric De Graafschap Jong PSV
HATHAT
Played65115611
Wins33%20%27%60%50%55%
Draws33%40%36%20%33%27%
Loses33%40%36%20%17%18%

Form: De Graafschap: WLLLDWDWDLD • Jong PSV: WWWWWLWLDDD

League goals

Metric De Graafschap Jong PSV
HATHAT
GF total1061691423
GF avg1.71.21.51.82.32.1
GA total1071741115
GA avg1.71.41.50.81.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDe GraafschapJong PSV
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%100%91%73%
1.545%45%73%36%
2.527%9%36%9%
3.50%0%9%9%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDe GraafschapJong PSV
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricDe GraafschapJong PSV
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricDe GraafschapJong PSV
Wins15
Draws10
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-33-02-4
Biggest losses2-32-00-15-3
Goals For3334
Goals Against3225

Model comparison

MetricDe GraafschapJong PSV
Form50%50%
Att39%61%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h80%20%
Goals65%35%
Total54.5%45.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : De Graafschap or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.25 @ Unibet
Away5.20 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.26 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.54.10 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.34 @ Betano
No3.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): De Graafschap = 1.68 (league 1.82), Jong PSV = 2.96 (league 1.32)

Jong PSV
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 1.0% 2.9% 4.2% 4.2% 3.1% 1.8%
1 1.6% 4.8% 7.1% 7.0% 5.2% 3.1%
2 1.4% 4.0% 6.0% 5.9% 4.4% 2.6%
3 0.8% 2.3% 3.3% 3.3% 2.4% 1.4%
4 0.3% 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.1% · Draw 16.3% · Away win 55.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1