Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 18:00 • GS Staalwerken Stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.83) 1.36 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.1% 22.6% 27.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Dordrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Helmond Sport 0 4.0% 5.4% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
1 7.4% 10.1% 6.9% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.4% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.3% 5.8% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.0% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHelmond SportDordrecht
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack40%25%
Defense65%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Helmond Sport Dordrecht
HATHAT
Played65115611
Wins83%0%45%40%33%36%
Draws0%20%9%40%33%36%
Loses17%80%45%20%33%27%

Form: Helmond Sport: LDWLLWLWLWW • Dordrecht: WWLWDDLDDWL

League goals

Metric Helmond Sport Dordrecht
HATHAT
GF total123156915
GF avg2.00.61.41.21.51.4
GA total791641014
GA avg1.21.81.50.81.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHelmond SportDordrecht
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%82%82%64%
1.536%45%36%45%
2.59%18%18%18%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHelmond SportDordrecht
HATHAT
Clean sheets202224
Failed to score022022

Penalties

MetricHelmond SportDordrecht
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricHelmond SportDordrecht
Wins12
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-22-00-3
Biggest losses1-33-11-23-0
Goals For4123
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricHelmond SportDordrecht
Form64%36%
Att62%38%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h7%93%
Goals15%85%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Double chance : Helmond Sport or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Betfair
Draw3.95 @ Dafabet
Away3.15 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.40 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Unibet
No2.63 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Helmond Sport = 1.86 (league 1.83), Dordrecht = 1.36 (league 1.32)

Dordrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Helmond Sport 0 4.0% 5.4% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
1 7.4% 10.1% 6.9% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.4% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.3% 5.8% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.0% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 27.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1