Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 18:00 • Sportpark De Toekomst
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.53 (league 1.78) 1.46 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.4% 18.3% 20.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.7%
3 - 1
7.3%
1 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Emmen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Ajax 0 1.9% 2.7% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.7% 6.9% 5.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
2 6.0% 8.7% 6.3% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 5.0% 7.3% 5.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
4 3.2% 4.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.6% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong AjaxEmmen
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack73%91%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong Ajax Emmen
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins17%0%8%50%17%33%
Draws50%33%42%17%0%8%
Loses33%67%50%33%83%58%

Form: Jong Ajax: LWLDDLLLLDDD • Emmen: LLLWWDWLLLWL

League goals

Metric Jong Ajax Emmen
HATHAT
GF total1181915621
GF avg1.81.31.62.51.01.8
GA total121325101525
GA avg2.02.22.11.72.52.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong AjaxEmmen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%92%75%83%
1.550%67%50%58%
2.525%33%25%42%
3.58%17%8%25%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong AjaxEmmen
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score123033

Penalties

MetricJong AjaxEmmen
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricJong AjaxEmmen
Wins12
Draws21
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—6-02-3
Biggest losses2-42-01-44-0
Goals For4363
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricJong AjaxEmmen
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h7%93%
Goals35%65%
Total41.8%58.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Emmen and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ Superbet
Draw4.20 @ Pinnacle
Away2.33 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.39 @ Pinnacle
No3.10 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Jong Ajax = 2.53 (league 1.78), Emmen = 1.46 (league 1.37)

Emmen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Ajax 0 1.9% 2.7% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.7% 6.9% 5.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
2 6.0% 8.7% 6.3% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 5.0% 7.3% 5.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
4 3.2% 4.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.6% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.4% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 20.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1