Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 19:00 • Kooi Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.31 (league 1.80) 1.27 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.8% 12.6% 10.6%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.9%
2 - 1
7.2%
4 - 1
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Jong Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cambuur 0 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.4% 4.3% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.6% 7.2% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.2% 7.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 5.1% 6.5% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
5 3.4% 4.3% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCambuurJong Ajax
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack56%38%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cambuur Jong Ajax
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins83%43%62%14%0%8%
Draws17%29%23%43%33%38%
Loses0%29%15%43%67%54%

Form: Cambuur: LWWWDWWWDWWDL • Jong Ajax: LWLDDLLLLDDDL

League goals

Metric Cambuur Jong Ajax
HATHAT
GF total16102611819
GF avg2.71.42.01.61.31.5
GA total8917131326
GA avg1.31.31.31.92.22.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCambuurJong Ajax
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%69%69%92%
1.554%38%46%62%
2.531%15%23%31%
3.515%8%8%15%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCambuurJong Ajax
HATHAT
Clean sheets224101
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricCambuurJong Ajax
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCambuurJong Ajax
Wins31
Draws13
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-32-44-1—
Biggest losses—4-22-42-0
Goals For5443
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricCambuurJong Ajax
Form73%27%
Att60%40%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total57.2%42.8%

Advice: Double chance : Cambuur or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ William Hill
Draw6.31 @ Pinnacle
Away8.50 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Pinnacle
No2.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.28 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.67 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cambuur = 3.31 (league 1.80), Jong Ajax = 1.27 (league 1.33)

Jong Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cambuur 0 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.4% 4.3% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.6% 7.2% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.2% 7.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 5.1% 6.5% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
5 3.4% 4.3% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.8% · Draw 12.6% · Away win 10.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1