Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 19:00 • Yanmar Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.77) 1.06 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.8% 21.2% 19.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 1
9.9%
2 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
MVV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almere City FC 0 4.6% 4.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
1 9.3% 9.9% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.3% 6.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.2% 3.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlmere City FCMVV
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack29%71%
Defense53%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Almere City FC MVV
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%29%29%43%14%29%
Draws29%0%14%0%43%21%
Loses43%71%57%57%43%50%

Form: Almere City FC: WLLLWLWLLDDLLW • MVV: LLWDLLLWDWLWDL

League goals

Metric Almere City FC MVV
HATHAT
GF total1592412618
GF avg2.11.31.71.70.91.3
GA total111223131225
GA avg1.61.71.61.91.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlmere City FCMVV
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%64%79%
1.543%57%43%50%
2.521%21%21%29%
3.521%7%0%21%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlmere City FCMVV
HATHAT
Clean sheets213123
Failed to score123235

Penalties

MetricAlmere City FCMVV
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAlmere City FCMVV
Wins11
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-43-10-1
Biggest losses2-42-02-44-0
Goals For5432
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricAlmere City FCMVV
Form42%58%
Att29%71%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h60%40%
Goals70%30%
Total54.8%45.2%

Advice: Double chance : Almere City FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Bet365
Draw5.33 @ Pinnacle
Away6.75 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.95 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Unibet
No2.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Almere City FC = 2.01 (league 1.77), MVV = 1.06 (league 1.36)

MVV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almere City FC 0 4.6% 4.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
1 9.3% 9.9% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.3% 6.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.2% 3.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.8% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 19.2%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1